google.com, pub-9294893883853578, DIRECT, f08c47fec0942fa0 What will be Iran's response to the killing of scientists?

What will be Iran's response to the killing of scientists?



The Islamic Republic of Iran could also be considering the way to answer the controversial assassination of 1 of its top nuclear scientists last Friday.

Mohsen Fakhrizada killed in a mysterious attack on a road outside the capital, Tehran, 

No regime or any group has claimed responsibility for this attack, but Iranian leaders have to hold liable Israel and vowed to retaliate.

So what options does Iran have for the answer and what are the obstacles it faces in implementing them?

Option 1: Accelerate the nuclear program

Iran has already given its initial response. Within 72 hours of the attack, Iran's parliament approved the "acceleration" of its civil nuclear program, in violation of the JCPOA nuclear deal.

Iran has signed a nuclear deal with six countries under which it can enrich uranium to a certain extent, but after that approval, uranium enrichment could increase.

It should be noted that this agreement was abandoned by US President Donald Trump in 2018.

Fakhrizada was not only an important nuclear scientist but also played an important role in the defense system, as evidenced by the number and attendance of military figures at his funeral.

Accelerating its nuclear program is a method of resisting Iran within the eyes of the planet that Iran's nuclear activities could continue despite the assassination. Although any increase in uranium enrichment raises suspicions that Iran may attempt to build a nuclear bomb, can Iran's move be reversed to some extent?



Option 2: Use a proxy

Iran features several "proxy" militias to which it provides support, training, and weapons throughout the center East, including Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, and Yemen.

When drone strikes and cruise missiles struck Saudi Arabia's oil processing plants in September 2019, Iran said it had been fired by Yemen's Houthi rebels, even though they came from the north.

Western intelligence concluded that the attack was carried out by Iran to warn Saudi Arabia and show how much damage it could do to the Saudi economy.

Iran now has many alternatives that it can activate. He could ask Hezbollah in Lebanon or Hamas in Gaza to fire rockets at Israel.

He could ask Shiite militia in Iraq to target the decreasing American presence there, or he could ask Yemen's Houthis to step up their attacks on Saudi Arabia. But the risk with all of them is that they could be retaliated against.

Nuclear program

Option 3: Revenge of the soul

It would be more dangerous for Iran to try to assassinate an Israeli figure like Mohsen Fakhrizada.

Iran has demonstrated in the past that it has the potential to strike beyond its borders. Following the mysterious deaths of 4 Iranian nuclear scientists between 2010 and 2012 (believed to be the work of the Israeli United States Secret Service Mossad), Iran's ally Hezbollah was flooded with Israeli tourists in Bulgaria in 2012. He was blamed for a bombing on a bus.

Many years ago, Hezbollah and Iran were accused of completing deadly attacks on Israeli interests in Argentina. More recently, Iranian agents in Europe were suspected of targeting exiles from Iran.


The Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards has specially trained teams in covert operations, including a killing team.

But Mohsin Fakhrizada's apparent lack of security shows that his killers not only knew his whereabouts but also the time of his departure. In that case, Iran would have to look at its own weaknesses.

Iran also knows that if it directly targets Israel, it could retaliate with a more damaging attack.

Israel is not any longer an alone state surrounded by Arab enemies. Although Israel's relations with Saudi Arabia are still secret, they also enjoy cordial relations with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain.

Therefore, Iran's military planners will be cautiously considering how to provide a successful response that restores national pride but does not allow Iran to go completely to war and destroy its military infrastructure. No airstrikes.

Option 4: Keep quiet and wait for the moment

This may seem unpredictable, but at least for now, this option is being considered. Although Iran's ambassador to London has always said that the outcome of the US presidential election has made no difference to his government, the reality is that the Biden administration is more likely to renew ties with Tehran.

There will be moderate voices in Biden's White House, particularly about the State Department and the business world.

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